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Matt Rosenberg

California: 99.7% Chance of Major Quake in Next 30 Years

By , About.com GuideApril 25, 2008

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A brand-new California statewide earthquake probability study has been released that indicates that California has a 99.7% chance of a major 6.7% earthquake striking somewhere in the state in the next thirty years. The probability of a magnitude 7.0 quake is 94%, of a magnitude 7.5 quake is 46%, and of a magnitude 8 quake is 4%. Geographically, the chance of a 6.7 quake in the San Francisco Bay Area is 63% and for Los Angeles is 67%. Take a look at the Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast site and the great maps, especially if you're a Californian.

Comments

April 28, 2008 at 9:34 am
(1) Kevin72 says:

This is the most assisine not-news headline ever. There is also a 99.7% chance that there will be an Olympics in 2012 and 2016.

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